• THREE types of Probability:

  • Theoretical Probability
  • Empirical Probability
  • Subjective Probability

• Bayes, Empirical Bayes and Moderated Methods

• Empirical and theoretical prior distribution | The Book of …

• https://www.khanacademy.org/math/cc-seventh-grade-math/cc-7th-probability-statistics/cc-7th-theoretical-and-experimental-probability/v/comparing-theoretical-to-experimental-probabilites

• Difference between theoretical equations and empirical equations:

  • Theoretical equations are in the sense that they are derived from an underlying theory.
  • Empirical equations are in the sense that they were selected only because they fit experimental data and without a theoretical justification.
    If we look at an equation can we identify whether it is a theoretical equation or an empirical equation just by looking at the equation?

主观经验 和 客观事实:后验概率

Subjective主观经验: 先验概率 & 似然概率
Objective客观事实: 后验概率 & 条件概率